Kodi makampani amayankha bwanji kusintha kwa RMB?

Gwero: Tsamba la China Trade – China Trade News lolembedwa ndi Liu Guomin

Yuan yakwera ndi ma basis point 128 kufika pa 6.6642 poyerekeza ndi dola yaku US Lachisanu, tsiku lachinayi motsatizana. Yuan ya m'mphepete mwa nyanja yakwera ndi ma basis point oposa 500 poyerekeza ndi dola sabata ino, sabata yake yachitatu yotsatizana ya phindu. Malinga ndi tsamba lovomerezeka la China Foreign Exchange Trade System, chiwongola dzanja chapakati cha RMB motsutsana ndi dola yaku US chinali 6.9370 pa Disembala 30, 2016. Kuyambira pachiyambi cha 2017, yuan yakwera pafupifupi 3.9% poyerekeza ndi dola kuyambira pa Ogasiti 11.

Zhou Junsheng, katswiri wodziwika bwino pankhani zachuma, anati poyankhulana ndi China Trade News, “RMB si ndalama yolimba padziko lonse lapansi, ndipo mabizinesi akunyumba akugwiritsabe ntchito dola ya US ngati ndalama yayikulu pamalonda awo akunja.”

Kwa makampani omwe amagulitsa kunja kwa dziko pogwiritsa ntchito ndalama za dola, yuan yolimba imatanthauza kutumiza kunja kokwera mtengo, zomwe zidzawonjezera kukana kugulitsa mpaka pamlingo wina. Kwa ogulitsa kunja, kukwera kwa YUAN kumatanthauza kuti mtengo wa katundu wotumizidwa kunja ndi wotsika mtengo, ndipo mtengo wa mabizinesi otumiza kunja watsika, zomwe zidzalimbikitsa kutumiza kunja. Makamaka poganizira kuchuluka kwa zinthu zopangira zomwe China yatumiza chaka chino, kukwera kwa yuan ndi chinthu chabwino kwa makampani omwe ali ndi zosowa zazikulu zotumizira kunja. Koma zimakhudzanso pamene pangano la zinthu zopangira zomwe zatumizidwa kunja lasainidwa, mfundo za panganoli ndi zomwe zavomerezedwa pakusintha kwa mitengo yosinthira, kuwerengera mtengo ndi nthawi yolipira ndi zina. Chifukwa chake, sizikudziwika kuti makampani oyenerera angasangalale bwanji ndi phindu lomwe limabwera chifukwa cha kukwera kwa RMB. Zimakumbutsanso makampani aku China kuti asamale akasaina mapangano otumiza kunja. Ngati ndi ogula kwambiri mchere kapena zinthu zina, ayenera kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu zawo zokambirana ndikuyesera kuphatikiza zigawo zamitengo yosinthira zomwe zili zotetezeka kwambiri kwa iwo m'mapangano.

Kwa makampani omwe ali ndi ndalama zobwezeredwa ku US, kukwera kwa RMB ndi kuchepa kwa mtengo wa dola la US kudzachepetsa mtengo wa ngongole ya dola la US; Kwa makampani omwe ali ndi ngongole za dola, kukwera kwa RMB ndi kuchepa kwa mtengo wa USD kudzachepetsa mwachindunji ngongole ya USD. Kawirikawiri, makampani aku China adzalipira ngongole zawo mu USD chisanafike chiŵerengero cha kusinthana kwa RMB kapena pamene chiŵerengero cha kusinthana kwa RMB chili cholimba, chomwe ndi chifukwa chomwecho.

Kuyambira chaka chino, chizolowezi china m'gulu la amalonda ndikusintha kalembedwe ka kusinthana kwamtengo wapatali komanso kufunitsitsa kokwanira kuthetsa kusinthana panthawi yomwe RMB idatsika kale, koma kusankha kugulitsa madola omwe ali m'manja mwa banki pakapita nthawi (kusinthana kokhazikika), kuti asasunge madola kwa nthawi yayitali komanso osafunika kwenikweni.

Mayankho a makampani pazochitika izi nthawi zambiri amatsatira mfundo yotchuka: ndalama ikakwera mtengo, anthu amakhala ofunitsitsa kuisunga, akukhulupirira kuti ipindulitsa; ndalama ikagwa, anthu amafuna kuchokamo mwachangu momwe angathere kuti apewe kutayika.

Kwa makampani omwe akufuna kuyika ndalama kunja, yuan yolimba imatanthauza kuti ndalama zawo za yuan ndizofunika kwambiri, zomwe zikutanthauza kuti ndi olemera kwambiri. Pankhaniyi, mphamvu yogula ya ndalama za mabizinesi akunja idzawonjezeka. Pamene yen idakwera mofulumira, makampani aku Japan adafulumizitsa ndalama ndi kugula kunja. Komabe, m'zaka zaposachedwa, China yakhazikitsa mfundo ya "kukulitsa ndalama zolowera ndikuwongolera ndalama zotuluka" pa ndalama zodutsa malire. Ndi kusintha kwa ndalama zodutsa malire komanso kukhazikika ndi kulimbitsa chiwongola dzanja cha RMB mu 2017, ndikofunikira kuyang'anitsitsa ngati mfundo za China zoyendetsera ndalama zodutsa malire zidzamasuka. Chifukwa chake, zotsatira za kuyamikira kwa RMB kumeneku kuti zilimbikitse mabizinesi kuti afulumizitse ndalama zakunja ziyeneranso kuwonedwa.

Ngakhale kuti dola pakadali pano ndi yofooka poyerekeza ndi Yuan ndi ndalama zina zazikulu, akatswiri ndi atolankhani akugawanika ngati njira yogulira yuan yolimba ndi dola yofooka ipitirira. "Koma mtengo wosinthira ndalama nthawi zambiri umakhala wokhazikika ndipo sudzasinthasintha monga momwe zinalili m'zaka zam'mbuyomu," adatero Zhou junsheng.